Trump's 2018 Tariff War Needed DOGE

Source 1     Source 2

Why Bother With Anti-tariffs Data

Soon to be Relevant  Current Data
 

Trumponomics Centers on Trade
More Wealth for Americans by Using Trade as a " Big Stick"
Deficit solved by tax cuts, Debt left to Federal Reserve.
But, the US Political Economy
Will Decides
 the  of Trumponomics, who gets or who pays.

Domestic Savers and Foreign Creditors provided most US Deficit Financing.
Because Great Recession then COVID threatened a depression,
 
Federal Reserves created needed financing (dollar credits i.e. printed money)
 which the federal government loaned to financial and business sectors.
It took ten years for Great Recession dollar credits to be paid back.
 

Great Recession Crisis: Long, Shallow, with Little Inflation
Fed successfully limited Great Recession inflation

by controlling the rate $ credits enter the real economy.
 

Economic growth and Low Interest Rates
Limited Cost of Additional Debt

 

COVID Recession Was Deep, Short With Much Inflation
Two Presidents Borrowed and Spent about 3 Billi
on Each

Economic growth might not limited the long real economy cost of Federal Debt Interest Payments
because much more was borrowed for spending not loans, with risinf rates.

The FED has managed this Great Recession money printing credie process reasonably well.

Will Trump replace tariffs on companies with a tariff on nations with a US trade surplus.
Rather than a 10% tariffs on $400+ billion dollars of Canadian export to US,
he puts a tariff on Canada equal to their $40+ billion, payable in US Treasuries.
Let Canada pay a tariff and encourage companies to move operations to US.
Toyota built its fist US assembly plant in 1972, #12 opens in 2025.
See Democratic Capitalism Vs. Capitalistic Democracy

Watch 1) ten-year interest rates to see if savers need higher interest to continue leading and
2) the value of the $ to see how the balance of trade is affected.

 

With US Capitalism,
New Technology and Better Management Systems create unmatched efficiency, but the
resulting
Creative Destruction efficiency hurts once productive American workers.
To help, US provides an extensive
Safety Net.

 

Americans Own

Resources Labor Capital Enterprise

Trade

 Owners Receive

Rent

Wages Interest Profit

Deficit

 
A Trade Deficit
means Americans Purchases > Americans Sell

Stuff In & dollars out  > Stuff Out & dollars in.
Resulting Deficit Dollars means
Americans get more Stuff and Foreigners get more dollar

Dollars come back to US as foreigners investment in US Assets,
especially US treasuries, stocks, businesses, real estate, natural resources plus travel in US.
This system is always in balance, except
some foreigners do not buy assets, they hoard dollars,
Americans gets free stuff in as paper dollars stay out.

Putin has a bunch of dollars

suggestions to antonw@ix.netcom.com

 


 

  Why Bother with Tariffs Data    
 

 

 

 

         

 

Trump appears to asking foreigners
to pay tribute
 to replace  losses
 from his attempt to reverse 
gains from 50 years of
manufacturing creative destruction


 


 

US Economy Back on Track


 

  

 

Leads Post Covid Recovery

 
 

Few Crony Capitalists

 

 

Necessities Cost Less

 
  Political Economy Cycles 1900 -2020  

US Political Eras 1790-2025

 

Current Data

 

    Source

Source

 

Trump's 2018 China trade deal worth $200 billion fell $200 billion short. PIIE 7/1922

Only $4 billion is left from Trump's 2018 farm tariff bailout of $28 billion.
Republicans are already talking about more money.
The low balance could be because
 2019-20 lawmakers
took a hands-off approach to who gets how much money
.